Ubiquitous
2024-08-20 02:05:03 UTC
After decades in public life as a prosecutor, senator and vice
president, Kamala Harris has a long track that could provide fodder for
opponents.
The Trump campaign could focus on her reputation as a liberal senator,
her support for the chaos of Black Lives Matter protests, or a path to
citizenship for undocumented immigrants.
But the issue that could hurt her most is her support for a bail fund
blamed for freeing a man who went on to commit murder, according to our
exclusive poll of likely voters.
It found that 54 percent of voters said that was a problem for her.
Although Republicans maxed out on the issue, it was also the most
problematic for the independent voters who could decide the 2024
election, with a net negative rating of -43 (the difference between
those who said it gave them a favorable opinion of her and those who
said it was a negative.)
In contrast, her past support for the federal legalization of cannabis
is seen as a positive among likely voters. Some 39 percent gave her a
positive rating for it, compared with 27 percent who gave her a
negative rating.
J.L. Partners tested a range of attack lines on 1054 likely voters to
see which landed and which didn't. It reveals how the Trump campaign
could best attack Harris
The results come from an online poll of 1054 likely voters conducted
last week by J.L. Partners.
It tested nine attack lines that have been used bu her opponents.
And it shows where Trump could get the most leverage and where Harris
may need to shore up her defenses.
'If the Trump campaign wants people to feel Harris is too liberal, or
is dangerous, or is crazy, they need evidence,' said James Johnson,
co-founder of J.L. Partners.
'Our poll shows that there would be worse places to look than her bail
fund decision while a senator. It is real, relatable, and alarming for
voters of all colors and creeds.'
The Trump campaign has already gone after Harris for being soft on
crime and highlighting her support for the Minnesota Freedom Fund.
It was set up in 2016 to pay criminal bail for people who could not
afford it.
Harris tweeted her support in 2020 in the wake of the police killing of
George Floyd in Minneapolis, which sparked widespread protests.
'If you're able to, chip in now to the @MNFreedomFund to help post bail
for those protesting on the ground in Minnesota,' she posted.
In 2022 it was used to release Shawn Tillman, who was being held on a
gross misdemeanor indecent exposure charge.
Harris posted support for the bail fund in 2020 as a way of supporting
protesters
Vice President Kamala Harris during an event in Raleigh, North
Carolina, on Friday. She has closed the gap on Trump in our
DailyMail.com poll
Workers construct a mural of Democratic presidential nominee Vice
President Kamala Harris outside of the United Center on August 16, 2024
in Chicago, Illinois
Donald Trump has used Harris's support of the bail fund in attacks on
her
Days after his release in May, 2022 he murdered a man in St. Paul and
is now serving a life sentence.
Republican attacks have tended to skew the story, claiming sometimes
that Harris had donated to the fund or that she backed a fund to free
'murderers and rapists' leaving out the fact that her support was for
B.L.M. protesters.
'One of the dangerous criminals Kamala helped bail out of jail was
Shawn Michael Tillman,' is how Trump himself put it during a rally in
Charlotte, North Carolina, at the end of last month.
'You know that name. A repeat offender who, with Harris's help, was set
free.'
Other arguments that worked well in our poll were that she was
responsible for the 'causes of the border crisis.' (Again Republican
attacks have glossed over the fact that President Joe Biden asked her
to tackle 'root causes' of migration in a limited number of Central
American countries.)
And she could be vulnerable over her past healthcare positions. In her
2020 presidential campaign, she pushed for a plan that would have
eliminated private insurance plans, replacing them with a government-
funded system.
J.L. Partners polled 1001 likely voters from Aug 7 to 11, in a separate
survey, using a mix of online, landline, cell phone and in-app
techniques. The results come with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 points.
They show that Harris has closed the gap on Trump
'Did you do this for Trump?' asked Kevin Munoz of the Harris Campaign
when asked for a response to the poll.
Attacks on other issues, such as backing B.L.M. protests in the summer
of 2020 or advocating for path to citizenship for undocumented
immigrants, land less well. Those issues have the backing of 24 percent
of respondents and 30 percent respectively.
'In a political campaign you need to find the message, but also the
proof point to back up the message. Without both, it won't stick for
voters,' said Johnson, the pollster.
'"Crooked Hillary" worked because of her emails. Attacks on Trump for
being high drama in 2020 had his aggressive debate performance and his
record during COVID to back them up.
'Romney seemed out of touch not just because Obama kept saying it but
also because he had his 47 percent comment to back it up.' (Romney
claimed that 47 percent of the electorate would vote for Obama whatever
happened because they paid no income taxa wild statement that failed
to account for the fact that most of those people earned too little to
be taxed rather than enjoying a gravy train.)
Both sides, said Johnson, needed to find attack lines based on solid
foundations.
--
Let's go Brandon!
president, Kamala Harris has a long track that could provide fodder for
opponents.
The Trump campaign could focus on her reputation as a liberal senator,
her support for the chaos of Black Lives Matter protests, or a path to
citizenship for undocumented immigrants.
But the issue that could hurt her most is her support for a bail fund
blamed for freeing a man who went on to commit murder, according to our
exclusive poll of likely voters.
It found that 54 percent of voters said that was a problem for her.
Although Republicans maxed out on the issue, it was also the most
problematic for the independent voters who could decide the 2024
election, with a net negative rating of -43 (the difference between
those who said it gave them a favorable opinion of her and those who
said it was a negative.)
In contrast, her past support for the federal legalization of cannabis
is seen as a positive among likely voters. Some 39 percent gave her a
positive rating for it, compared with 27 percent who gave her a
negative rating.
J.L. Partners tested a range of attack lines on 1054 likely voters to
see which landed and which didn't. It reveals how the Trump campaign
could best attack Harris
The results come from an online poll of 1054 likely voters conducted
last week by J.L. Partners.
It tested nine attack lines that have been used bu her opponents.
And it shows where Trump could get the most leverage and where Harris
may need to shore up her defenses.
'If the Trump campaign wants people to feel Harris is too liberal, or
is dangerous, or is crazy, they need evidence,' said James Johnson,
co-founder of J.L. Partners.
'Our poll shows that there would be worse places to look than her bail
fund decision while a senator. It is real, relatable, and alarming for
voters of all colors and creeds.'
The Trump campaign has already gone after Harris for being soft on
crime and highlighting her support for the Minnesota Freedom Fund.
It was set up in 2016 to pay criminal bail for people who could not
afford it.
Harris tweeted her support in 2020 in the wake of the police killing of
George Floyd in Minneapolis, which sparked widespread protests.
'If you're able to, chip in now to the @MNFreedomFund to help post bail
for those protesting on the ground in Minnesota,' she posted.
In 2022 it was used to release Shawn Tillman, who was being held on a
gross misdemeanor indecent exposure charge.
Harris posted support for the bail fund in 2020 as a way of supporting
protesters
Vice President Kamala Harris during an event in Raleigh, North
Carolina, on Friday. She has closed the gap on Trump in our
DailyMail.com poll
Workers construct a mural of Democratic presidential nominee Vice
President Kamala Harris outside of the United Center on August 16, 2024
in Chicago, Illinois
Donald Trump has used Harris's support of the bail fund in attacks on
her
Days after his release in May, 2022 he murdered a man in St. Paul and
is now serving a life sentence.
Republican attacks have tended to skew the story, claiming sometimes
that Harris had donated to the fund or that she backed a fund to free
'murderers and rapists' leaving out the fact that her support was for
B.L.M. protesters.
'One of the dangerous criminals Kamala helped bail out of jail was
Shawn Michael Tillman,' is how Trump himself put it during a rally in
Charlotte, North Carolina, at the end of last month.
'You know that name. A repeat offender who, with Harris's help, was set
free.'
Other arguments that worked well in our poll were that she was
responsible for the 'causes of the border crisis.' (Again Republican
attacks have glossed over the fact that President Joe Biden asked her
to tackle 'root causes' of migration in a limited number of Central
American countries.)
And she could be vulnerable over her past healthcare positions. In her
2020 presidential campaign, she pushed for a plan that would have
eliminated private insurance plans, replacing them with a government-
funded system.
J.L. Partners polled 1001 likely voters from Aug 7 to 11, in a separate
survey, using a mix of online, landline, cell phone and in-app
techniques. The results come with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 points.
They show that Harris has closed the gap on Trump
'Did you do this for Trump?' asked Kevin Munoz of the Harris Campaign
when asked for a response to the poll.
Attacks on other issues, such as backing B.L.M. protests in the summer
of 2020 or advocating for path to citizenship for undocumented
immigrants, land less well. Those issues have the backing of 24 percent
of respondents and 30 percent respectively.
'In a political campaign you need to find the message, but also the
proof point to back up the message. Without both, it won't stick for
voters,' said Johnson, the pollster.
'"Crooked Hillary" worked because of her emails. Attacks on Trump for
being high drama in 2020 had his aggressive debate performance and his
record during COVID to back them up.
'Romney seemed out of touch not just because Obama kept saying it but
also because he had his 47 percent comment to back it up.' (Romney
claimed that 47 percent of the electorate would vote for Obama whatever
happened because they paid no income taxa wild statement that failed
to account for the fact that most of those people earned too little to
be taxed rather than enjoying a gravy train.)
Both sides, said Johnson, needed to find attack lines based on solid
foundations.
--
Let's go Brandon!